Pure free market; no crying towel needed: the bottom 50% of America’s workforce now takes 12% of overall income. It is hard to believe that the products and services produced by this half of America's workforce (70 million people!) would no longer be in demand over a few percent shift in overall income from the top 50% brought about by a $15/hr minimum wage (today's median wage).
Half the workforce, 70 million employees would receive an average $8,000/yr = $560 billion added to the cost of $15.8 trillion economic output = only 3.6% direct inflation. Probably wouldn't lead to much additional inflation. Economies with high minimum wages have median wages not much higher. LBJ's 1968 median was only 25% higher than his approaching $11/hr minimum wage (at half today's per capita output!).
* * * * * *
My minimum wage worksheet -- my
easily-could-have-been minimum wage double-indexed for inflation and per
capita income growth:
yr per capita real nominal dbl-index %-of
68 15,473 10.74 (1.60) 100%
69-70-71-72-73 [real, low point -- 8.41]
74 18,284 9.47 (2.00) 12.61
75 18,313 9.11 (2.10) 12.61
76 18,945 9.44 (2.30) 13.04 72%
77 [8.86]
78 20,422 9.49 (2.65) 14.11
79 20,696 9.33 (2.90) 14.32
80 20,236 8.78 (3.10) 14.00
81 20,112 8.61 (3.35) 13.89 62%
82-83-84-85-86-87-88-89 [6.31]
90 24,000 6.79 (3.80) 16.56
91 23,540 7.29 (4.25) 16.24 44%
92-93-94-95 [6.51]
96 25,887 7.07 (4.75) 17.85
97 26,884 7.49 (5.15) 19.02 39%
98-99-00-01-02-03-04-05-06 [5.97]
07 29,075 6.59 (5.85) 20.09
08 28,166 7.10 (6.55) 19.45
09 27,819 7.89 (7.25) 19.42 40%
10-11-12 [7.37]
13 29,209? 7.25 (7.25) 20.20? 36%?
yr per capita real nominal dbl-index %-of
68 15,473 10.74 (1.60) 100%
69-70-71-72-73 [real, low point -- 8.41]
74 18,284 9.47 (2.00) 12.61
75 18,313 9.11 (2.10) 12.61
76 18,945 9.44 (2.30) 13.04 72%
77 [8.86]
78 20,422 9.49 (2.65) 14.11
79 20,696 9.33 (2.90) 14.32
80 20,236 8.78 (3.10) 14.00
81 20,112 8.61 (3.35) 13.89 62%
82-83-84-85-86-87-88-89 [6.31]
90 24,000 6.79 (3.80) 16.56
91 23,540 7.29 (4.25) 16.24 44%
92-93-94-95 [6.51]
96 25,887 7.07 (4.75) 17.85
97 26,884 7.49 (5.15) 19.02 39%
98-99-00-01-02-03-04-05-06 [5.97]
07 29,075 6.59 (5.85) 20.09
08 28,166 7.10 (6.55) 19.45
09 27,819 7.89 (7.25) 19.42 40%
10-11-12 [7.37]
13 29,209? 7.25 (7.25) 20.20? 36%?
1 comment:
This post was lifted from the comments at Angry Bear (where I posted it as a comment) and made a post there -- along with some other material I have been emailing (spamming? :-]) around -- see:
http://angrybearblog.com/2013/08/fast-food-fight.html
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