Saturday, June 8, 2013

A state felony to annoy police once? -- How about a felony civil rights violation to stop-and-frisk kids 25X?

 
The New York State Senate wants to make it a felony to annoy one police officer -- one time? After all cops take the job to avoid conflict, stress or real danger.

How about federal civil rights legislation that makes it a felony to infringe whole classes of citizens’ Fourth Amendment rights --
day-in-and-day-out?  Did someone say stop-and frisk? The privacy protected by the Fourth Amendment is important enough to be a part of the Constitution because it is an important part of our DNA.  Treating supposedly (supposed to be) free people like prisoners in their own neighborhoods truthfully ruins their whole lives.

According to a New York Magazine story Officer Pedro Serrano, who dissented from massive unconstitutional intrusions by secretly recording superior orders
to perpetrate abuse and making those recordings public, he “lost count of the number of times he was stopped and frisked [growing up], but he estimates somewhere between 25 and 50.”   
http://nymag.com/news/features/pedro-serrano-2013-5/index1.html  [p.2]  

From the same story: “As for his fellow cops at the 4-0, Serrano discovered that they fell into three camps. One third supported him (“They were like: ‘We get it, no problem’ ”); another third were furious (“They think what I did is wrong”); and the rest were neutral (“They were like, ‘We don’t care either way; we just  don’t like the bad stuff that’s coming because he’s pissed off now’”). 
http://nymag.com/news/features/pedro-serrano-2013-5/index6.html  [p.7]

 It is heartening to know that only one third of the cops turn out to be yahoos. Yahoos are not inherently evil – most are just  bureaucratically insensitive doing their job (human nature; have to be some). But when yahoos are put in charge of a whole police department – and then told to make everyone else into yahoos – at a very quick step, yet – you get the kind of all pervasive Fourth Amendment violations upsetting New York City neighborhoods; in turn giving departments across the country (Oakland?, Boston?) bad ideas.

The caption under the picture topping the first pages describes three teens being thrown on a wall and groped "on Seneca Avenue in the Bronx, on their way home from school in September 2012." 

Here is my first question -- which fits so many of these stops: If these kids are stopped for resembling descriptions of perpetrators of a crime, why did the police not hold them for a witness or victim to come and identify?  Second question: Given it is a 1000 to 1 shot (more like 10,000 to 1? – never happened to me) that any one person is exhibiting a suspicious bulge in their clothing resembling a knife or gun, making it 1,000,000 to 1 to find two in a row and 1,000,000,000 to 1 to find three in a row, how can police explain habitually frisking whole gaggles of kids -- or any other category -- at once?

Nothing seems capable of guaranteeing Fourth Amendment protections at the local level. Even federal courts can only do so much against determined executive opposition.   [[ Opps; I guess not -- have to rewrite this section.  The 1964 federal Civil Rights Act makes it a felony to conspire to infringe First Amendment rights while acting under color of law. ]]   Unfortunately, as late as 2013, there may be a growing need for federal civil rights legislation to put teeth into Fourth Amendment protections.

Federal civil rights legislation criminalizing Fourth Amendment prohibited intrusions at some level (I cannot suggest precise language) could do double and triple duty.

Double duty: the crazy business in the Boston suburb of invading every house within a 20 square block area without warrants in pursuit of a 19-year-old who might be in possession of a handgun would have been deeply discouraged by the existence of federal privacy wrong doing penalties. Triple duty: President Bush's warrantless wiretaps never would have been considered in the first place. Nor possibly would much of the unconstitutional data-gathering we all strongly suspect is going on behind closed government doors these days but are totally barred from discovering, were a felony civil rights conviction attached.

Where are we going to find a new Lyndon Johnson dedicated to pushing through the new civil rights bill?  (Hint: Elizabeth Warren for president. :-])

Fictionalized Account 
 
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3MSrlPSOM1A&feature=endscreen

Real Account
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gim9tUbdoj0&feature=endscreen 


Crime was already down 4X when Mad Mayor Bloomberg took office -- whence he upped stops and frisks 7X by the year 2011 (from 100,000 to 700,000).  4 X 7 = 28 times as many stops per reported crime.  Last year down to only 20X.  ("Mad  Mayor" alludes to hizzoner building a brand new $400 million courthouse in the Bronx -- after we already opened a brand new $120 million court in 1977, to catch the then criminal case overflow, which new court was almost as nice as the 1939 landmark courthouse and architectural anchor of the neighborhood up the block on the Grand Concourse.  He blew another $630 million presumably doing the same trick in Brooklyn -- also after crime went down 4X!)
http://www.nycourts.gov/publications/benchmarks/issue5/mega-courthouse.shtml

Sunday, June 2, 2013

My minimum wage worksheet


My minimum wage worksheet -- the easily could-have-been minimum wage double-indexed for inflation and per capita income growth:
 
yr  per capita    real    nominal  dbl-index  %-of

68    15,473    10.69      (1.60)                 100%
69-70-71-72-73          [real, low point -- 8.39]
74    18,284      9.43      (2.00)     12.61          
75    18,313      9.08      (2.10)     12.61
76    18,945      9.40      (2.30)     13.04     72%
77                                                             [8.84]
78    20,422      9.45      (2.65)      14.11
79    20,696      9.29      (2.90)      14.32
80    20,236      8.75      (3.10)      14.00         

81    20,112      8.57      (3.35)      13.89     62%
82-83-84-85-86-87-88-89                        [6.29]
90    24,000      6.76      (3.80)      16.56
91    23,540      7.26      (4.25)      16.24     44%
92-93-94-95                                              [6.50]
96    25,887      7.04      (4.75)      17.85
97    26,884      7.46      (5.15)      19.02      39%
98-99-00-01-02-03-04-05-06                    [5.95]
07    29,075      6.56      (5.85)       20.09
08    28,166      7.07      (6.55)       19.45
09    27,819      7.86      (7.25)       19.42      40%
10-11-12                                                     [7.36]                 

13   29,209?     7.25      (7.25)        20.20?    36%?

 * * * * * * 
An added thought: By the year 2013 some could speculate that a $20.20/hr minimum wage might not be a realistic expectation evidenced by double indexing alone because the fabric of the economy might have changed so radically over 45 years.  Might be an outside possibility, but, LBJ's 1968 minimum wage would have morphed to more than $14/hr with double indexing by only 1978.  Can anyone explain how the economic fabric might have changed sos radically in a mere 10 years?

Tuesday, May 28, 2013

More on the theme of getting males to -- actually -- think about any new approach in the American labor market (or anything else)


FROM MY EMAIL TO A CHICAGO LABOR ACTIVIST:
Tomorrow I start writing what I hope will be a "doozey" on the minimum wage.  First, let me explain what I have been doing lately.  I've spent two months crossing the country with email: hitting top newspapers in almost every state (47) with a long message, "Open letter to Oakland mayor Jean Quan -- the only law that can end gun violence", pushing my big obsession -- the only way back -- legally mandated sector-wide labor agreements.  I figured journalists could digest something long.  And hitting every state legislator with an email address (except New Hampshire state reps: all 400!) with, first, earlier versions of my $15/hr minimum wage pitch and then the "black hole theory" -- which latter I started sending that to both papers and legs once I dreamed it up.  May have sent out 14,000 altogether.  AT&T kept cutting me off for suspected spamming -- finally figured out how to restart (wait 6 hours first for a bad one -- don't do more than 200 in an hour or be cut off for an hour).

My "doozey" will take a phrase that a professor hit me with: "marginal productivity."  I had to look it up too.    Without bothering with the "technicalities" (I'm more salesman than tech) I am going to ask -- after some tech explanation:
Did LBJ consult the concept marginal productivity when he raised the minimum wage to $10.75/hr (adjusted and rounded);
did Congress consult marginal productivity when it failed to raise the minimum wage for the next 5 years ('69-'73);
or for 8 years in a row ('82-'89);
or for 4 years in a row ('92-'95);
or for 9 years in a row ('08-'06);
for for now going on 4 years?


Not impressed?  That is because you are a female -- you don't need to be coaxed that doubling the minimum wage is not an impossibly big step.  Males, OTW, are so slaved to checking in with group -- even the top progressive economists -- that they will not consider anything too novel, too different for one second  -- no matter how much sense it might make in the logical abstract.  How else are we going to cooperate going after small animals with big sticks -- can't think too independently!
 
Egro, my open letter to female mayor Jean Quan -- trying to get her to approach my favorite (mostly male) economic faculty up the road in Berkeley (my California driver's license says I live up that same road) on the subject of sector-wide labor agreements.
 
The "doozey": whisks away the concept of any (scary) established economic order in the way -- portrays just years of sleepy forgetfulness.  Then, comes the lock: I point out that double indexing LBJ's minimum wage to inflation and per capita income growth yields $20.20/hr -- leaving today's federal minimum wage at just 36% of that -- maybe not even that much to fix, just fill in part of what's missing (enough to get to $15/hr?).  
 
Want to get somewhere with the male animal on doubling the minimum wage: first, supply the magic numbers, the "black hole theory of the minimum wage" ($15/hr being the median wage: half the workforce will get raises percentage multiples of what their employers pass through to prices will be: wages cause demand to go up) -- and -- then, have fast food workers make a scene for $15/hr all across the nation, anywhere and everywhere you can (the absolutely needed social signal).  Last I heard they are making a stink in Missouri.

[LATE THOUGHT -- possibly to be included with the "doozey"]
Even according to Malthusian theory -- from the pre-industrial world where per capita output could not expand every year: all other things held equal, the federal minimum wage would have dropped only a third as US population grew by half (200 million to 300 million).  Instead by early 2007 the federal minimum wage had dropped almost in half.